Navigating the Freight Landscape: Assessing Year-End Challenges and Opportunities in Volumes and Spot Rates

Analytics

Freight Market Insights: Unpacking the Current Dynamics

This week’s FreightWaves Supply Chain Pricing Power Index: 35 (Shippers)
Last week’s FreightWaves Supply Chain Pricing Power Index: [35 (Shippers)](https://www.freightwaves.com/news/is-thanksgiving-going-to-disrupt-the-status-quo)
Three-month FreightWaves Supply Chain Pricing Power Index Outlook: 40 (Shippers)

The FreightWaves Supply Chain Pricing Power Index leverages sophisticated analytics and data from FreightWaves SONAR to assess market conditions and gauge the rate negotiation strength between carriers and shippers.

Volumes Rebound Yet Lag Year-Over-Year

Following the Thanksgiving holiday, freight tender volumes have surged but remain subdued compared to last year. Historically, December witnesses a slowdown due to festivities in the later half of the month compounded by sluggish business activities. Observing the current market landscape, a notable volume surge before year-end is improbable.

Analyzing the Metrics

The Outbound Tender Volume Index (OTVI), vital for measuring freight demand by tracking shipping capacity requests, climbed 16.28% post-holiday. However, scrutinizing a two-week period reveals a 7.3% decline. When compared to last year, volumes plummeted by 11%, indicating the Thanksgiving lull still lingers.

Among various mileage bands, midhaul volumes (250-400 miles) fared relatively better, contracting by just 3.04% over two weeks.

Rejection Rates Retreat from Holiday Peaks

After reaching a peak for the year, tender rejection rates have dipped below 6%. Despite tracking closely with trends from 2019, the market hasn’t seen a breakout similar to that year. However, positive trends suggest sustainable growth, unaffected by major spikes due to holidays.

Capacity and Market Equilibrium

The Outbound Tender Reject Index (OTRI) indicates a downward trend of 33 basis points to 5.98% over the week, albeit 230 basis points higher than last year. Capacity has exited the market, granting carriers marginally more choice than the previous year.

Spot Rates: A Persistent Elevation Over the Year

With tender rejection rates receding and capacity readjusting, spot rates have conceded recent gains yet persist above last year's levels. The National Truckload Index, inclusive of fuel and accessorial charges, fell by 5 cents per mile to $2.38, still 4 cents higher than last year.

Contract rates remain stable, reflecting cautious optimism from shippers aware of potential market fluctuations. The spread between contract and spot rates shows a narrowing trend, suggestive of decreasing volatility.

Conclusion
Freight dynamics post-Thanksgiving showcase a unique blend of challenges and opportunities as the industry braces for the end of the year. Shifts in volume, rejection rates, and spot rates all underline the complex freight landscape, urging stakeholders to navigate these tides with awareness and adaptability.

For further insights, visit our Shop, explore our Register page, or reach out to our Help Center for assistance.

More posts from News

News

FMCSA Active ELD Revoke List and the Importance of Compliance

The Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) plays a crucial role in ensuring the safety and reliability of commercial motor vehicles on American roads. As part of their oversight, they mandate the use of Electronic Logging Devices (ELDs) to monitor drivers’ hours of service (HOS) and ensure compliance with federal regulations. However, not all ELDs meet the necessary compliance standards. When a device no longer complies with FMCSA regulations or fails to meet performance standards, it is placed on the **FMCSA ELD Revoked List**. Below, we explore some of the key reasons why an ELD might be revoked and provide a table of current revoked devices.
Regulatory Compliance
Enhanced Safety
Read More

News

How ELDs Improve Fleet Management

In this guide we will explore the various features of ELDs and how they contribute to optimising fleet operations.

News

Why Are ELDs Mandatory For Commercial Trucks?

In this article we will explore the key features and benefits of ELDs, as well as the challenges that drivers and fleet operators may face during implementation.
Laptop

Register and get free access to the system

Registration to get free access to the system for a week and assess its capabilities by yourself

OR
Laptop

Schedule a video call meeting with our manager

Schedule a video call meeting with our manager to see the system in action and understand how it works