Challenges and Changes: Universal Logistics Holdings Forecasts Lower Earnings for 2025
Universal Logistics Holdings recently announced a reduction in its full-year 2025 financial forecast, citing sluggish automotive production and challenges within intermodal sales. This update came after the company's fourth-quarter results were published, followed by an earnings call that provided further insights.
Financial Outlook Adjustments
During the call, Universal Logistics Holdings officials projected 2025 revenues between $1.7 billion and $1.8 billion with operating margins ranging from 7% to 9%. This marks a decline from the third-quarter guidance, which estimated revenues of $1.8 billion to $1.9 billion and margins between 10% and 12%.
CFO Jude Beres elaborated on the changes, mentioning the impact of recent acquisitions, increased depreciation and amortization expenses, the conclusion of a specialty development program in 2024, and the softness in automotive customer demand. Moreover, they anticipate continued hurdles within the intermodal segment, particularly in Southern California.
For the first quarter of 2025, revenue expectations have been set between $390 million and $410 million, with operating margins predicted to be in the 6.5% to 7.5% range.
Company Background & Performance
Based in Warren, Michigan, Universal Logistics Holdings (Nasdaq: ULH) is a key player in truckload transportation, intermodal, and logistics services across the U.S., Mexico, Canada, and Colombia, employing over 10,000 people.
In the fourth quarter, the company reported a 19% increase in year-over-year revenue, reaching $465.1 million. Despite this growth, earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 4.9% from the previous year to 77 cents, missing Wall Street's expectation of 92 cents per share, although revenue did surpass forecasts of $435.7 million.
Segment Performance
CEO Tim Phillips expressed satisfaction with the overall performance on the analyst call, noting variability across different segments. Contract logistics has been a standout, achieving double-digit operating margins and driving company success. Conversely, the trucking segment is maintaining strength despite an underperforming market, and demand remains high for their specialized heavy-haul wind business.
In the trucking arena, fourth-quarter revenue rose by 11.5% year over year, reaching $83.8 million. A pivotal development was the acquisition of the rail terminal operator, Parsec, for $194 million this past September.
“Our contract logistics remains the most consistent and profitable segment,” said Phillips, emphasizing the expansion from 71 to 90 value-added programs due to the Parsec acquisition. This sector alone saw a 52.7% year-over-year revenue increase to $307.4 million.
By contrast, the intermodal segment faced a revenue decrease of 15.9% to $73.1 million, alongside a 15.3% drop in volume and a 2.2% decline in rates. Amid these challenges, Phillips remains optimistic, aiming to streamline operations for potential improvements once market conditions stabilize.
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